Abstract
The political and military situation in Afghanistan remains fragile, and major transformations will likely take place within the coming months. The U.S.-Taliban talks in Doha, the potential for a sudden U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, the upcoming presidential election in Afghanistan, the controversial expansion of President Ghani’s tenure/mandate and political opposition to this, and a continued weakening of the Afghan National Army (ANA) are the most evident examples of developments that will likely alter Afghanistan’s political landscape in the near future.